Stocks Falter as Euphoria Over Fed Rate Cut Fades: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) — European stocks fell and US equity futures slipped on Friday as some bad news on earnings tempered the euphoria around the trajectory for interest rates.

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Europe’s Stoxx 600 fell as Mercedes-Benz Group AG slumped as much as 8.4% after cutting its financial forecast because of sluggish China sales. US futures retreated, just hours after the S&P 500 notched its 39th record high of 2024. FedEx Corp. plunged 13% in premarket trading as the economic bellwether missed profit estimates and cautioned that its business would slow.

The Federal Reserve’s bold 50-point rate cut this week boosted confidence that it will be able to engineer a soft landing, but warnings such as the one from FedEx underscore lingering risks to the economy. Fed policymakers have projected a further half point of reductions this year.

“For all the optimism in markets right now, it’s clear that a few concerns still lie under the surface,” said Jim Reid, a strategist at Deutsche Bank AG. “In particular, futures are continuing to price in a more aggressive pace of cuts than was implied by the Fed’s dot plot on Wednesday, so investors think they might need to accelerate those rate cuts if downside risks materialize.”

Traders are also braced for a quarterly episode known as “triple witching” in which derivatives contracts tied to stocks, index options and futures will mature — potentially amplifying market moves. About $5.1 trillion are set to expire Friday, according to an estimate from derivatives analytical firm Asym 500.

The options expiry coincides with the rebalancing of benchmark indexes. The event has a reputation for causing sudden price moves as contracts disappear and traders roll over their existing positions or start new ones.

Treasury yields were little changed on Friday, while an index of dollar strength ticked higher.

The Bank of Japan was in focus as it kept policy unchanged, with the yen weakening as Governor Kazuo Ueda’s commentary proved less hawkish than some traders expected. Ueda signaled little urgency to hike rates, and…

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