Bitcoin (BTC) narrowed its consolidation range on March 18 as the TradFi trading week looked set to end with $40,000 still in place.
BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView
Traders patiently await paradigm shift
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD preserving $40,000 support overnight, and with it the area highlighted as “crucial” by analysis Thursday.
Macro cues had lessened following the United States Federal Reserve rate hike confirmation, with a lack of new triggers from Europe steadying markets overall.
For popular trader Crypto Ed, the next few days should see either a continuation to a target zone of $43,000 or a breakdown of the current trend.
Analyzing his Elliot Wave setup for the 4-hour BTC/USD chart, however, he noted that the cycle was “still bearish” prior to a range high of $45,000 being broken — something which could happen after another few consolidatory moves in between.
Those moves, specifically a strong bounce during the retracement, “would be my signal to go long,” he said in a YouTube update Thursday.
Other participants were increasingly bullish on the outlook, too, with Twitter trader Zima even highlighting a long-term trend breakout for on-balance volume (OBV).
As Cointelegraph previously reported, increasing OBV reflects growing demand for an asset at the current traded price, and for Bitcoin, the time appeared to be night for exiting a sideways price zone in place since as far back as January 2021.
“I haven’t moved a single line on my OBV since I started tracking the move 8 weeks ago,” Zima commented.
“We have broken out of the wedge to the top side and are flipping the 20 day OBVMA. We are on the cusp of a multi month bullish continuation after a year of crab.”
Fellow account Allen Au added to the optimism, eyeing a potential move out of Bitcoin’s 2022 range with $46,000 as its top.
#BTC is on the verge of breaking out to the upside as confirmed by technical indicators.
It’s trading inside an Ascending Parallel Channel w/ resistance at $45K-$46K & support at $35K-$36K. But ST in apattern.
If BTC breaks out of both patterns: