Nvidia’s $50 Billion Buyback Is Not a Reason to Buy the Stock Hand Over Fist. Here’s What I’m Concerned About.

On Aug. 28, Wall Street held its breath as the world’s most important artificial intelligence (AI) company reported second-quarter earnings. I’m talking about Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), of course. While each member of the “Magnificent Seven” is seen as an indicator for the direction of all things AI, Nvidia has emerged as perhaps the industry’s end-all-be-all barometer.

But fear not! Once again, Nvidia silenced the doubters after posting yet another spectacular earnings report. However, while combing through the financial and operating metrics, I discovered one announcement that left me a little perplexed.

Namely, Nvidia’s board of directors approved an additional $50 billion in share repurchases (this comes on top of a remaining $7.5 billion from a prior buyback program). There’s a general notion that stock buybacks can be quite favorable for investors. But in the case of Nvidia, I just don’t get it.

Below, I’ll break down some reasons why I think Nvidia announced the buyback and why I do not see this move as a reason to buy the stock right now.

Is Nvidia’s buyback a distraction?

One of the bigger announcements from Nvidia this year was the company’s 10-for-1 stock split, which occurred back in June. Since early September 2022, shares of Nvidia have risen over 750%. As the stock price eclipsed $1,000 per share, building a position in Nvidia became more of a hurdle for some investors.

Sometimes, a company will choose to split its stock following these significant rises in the share price. Although a stock split does not inherently change a company’s market capitalization, the lower split-adjusted price is often perceived as less expensive and may inspire investors to buy. As a result, a stock could actually become more expensive following a split as a larger body of investors starts to pour in.

This isn’t exactly the case with Nvidia stock, though. Since shares began trading on a split-adjusted basis on June 10, Nvidia stock has declined by about 2% (as of market close on Sept. 2). I’ll concede that a 2% drop is not a reason to panic. But with that said, I am a little…

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